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CRE101 - College Critical Reading - Diefert - Deceptive Statistics

Deceptive Statistics Assignment

  • Evaluate statistics that you find, and look for statistics that are being disseminated to the public in a possible attempt to sway the reader.
  • Find an article or infographic that might have reliable sources, such as Bureau of Labor and Statistics, but the information is skewed or falsified.  
  • Stay away from the databases and try different browsers on the Internet, because different browsers might yield different results.  Google Chrome, Firefox, Bing, Yahoo!, DuckDuckgo.

“The Beauty of Data Visualization” (2010)

Deceptive Statistics - What Are They?

How to Search for Deceptive Statistics Info on your Career

How to Search for Deceptive Statistics Info on your Career - Example

1.Determine what career you hope to get into and list below:

Nurse

2.Now determine broader field your career falls under:

Nurse > Health Services

3.So now search using the broader term “Health Services” and “Deceptive Statistics”
 

4.Do a search in Google.com using the IMAGES tab instead of a regular Google Search using these two terms.
 

5.Locate graphs or charts of deceptive statistics on a health issue.
 

6.I located the following chart from Google Images:

GOP Committee Chair Brandishes Data Promoted By Right-Wing Media At Planned Parenthood Hearing, Doesn't Realize It's From Anti-Choice Group Media Fact Checkers: Chart "Makes Absolutely No Sense" And "Has No Y-Axis"

 

Two charts are presented - Chaffetz Version and the Honest Version.

Deceptive Statistics - 2020-2021

FOOD FOR THOUGHT

Misleading Graphs Real Life Examples

Determining Deceptive Statistics

The aphorism that there are "lies, damned lies, and statistics" is attributed to British statesman Benjamin Disraeli (1804–1881) and reflects the unfortunate fact that statistics can be accidentally or deliberately used to deceive just as easily as they can be used to illuminate and inform. Understanding how statistics can be accidentally or deliberately used to misrepresent data can help people to see through deceptive uses of statistics in real life.

Consider a group of four friends who graduated from the same college. Three of them earn $40,000 per year working as managers in a local factory, while the fourth earns $500,000 per year from his family's shrewd investments in the stock market. What statistic best represents the income level of the four friends? The arithmetic mean is ($40,000 + $40,000 + $40,000 + $500,000)/4 = $155,000, but in this case the arithmetic mean is not an accurate reflection of the underlying bimodal population. If anything, the median income of $40,000 is more representative of most of the group even though it does not accurately reflect the highest salary. It is likewise strictly correct to state that the incomes of the four friends range from a minimum of $40,000 to a maximum $500,000, but that simple statistic does not convey the fact that most of the friends earn the minimum amount. It would therefore be true but misleading for a university recruiter to tell prospective students that a group of its graduates earns an average of $155,000 per year or that graduates of the university earn as much as $500,000 per year. A less deceptive statement that that the group earns between $40,000 and $500,000, and that three of them earn the minimum amount (or that the mode is $40,000). But, this still does not paint an accurate picture. An even less deceptive statement would also explain that while the highest earner is indeed a graduate of that college, his income is tied to his family's investments and not necessarily related to his college education.

Correlation or Causation?

Correlation or Causation?

Some of the most common examples of real life statistics are news stories describing the results of recently published medical or economic research. A newspaper article might give details of a study showing that men and women with college degrees tend to have higher incomes than those who have never attended college. A report on the evening news might explain that researchers have found a correlation between low test scores and excessive soft drink consumption among high school students. In both cases, variables are correlated but the studies do not necessarily prove that one causes the other to occur. In other words, correlation does not necessarily imply causation.

It is easy to think of reasons why people who obtain college degrees tend to make more money than those who do not. College degrees are required for many high paying jobs in science, engineering, law, medicine, and business. College graduates also know other college graduates who can help them to get good jobs and can take advantage of on-campus interviews. People who do not attend college, in contrast, are excluded from many high paying careers and may not have the same advantages as college students. This is not to say that there are no exceptions, because someone with a college degree may choose to take a low paying job for its intrinsic satisfaction. Social workers, teachers, or artists, for example, may have college degrees but earn less money than factory workers without degrees. Likewise, some multi-millionaires and even billionaires never completed college. What about the converse? Is it possible that high earnings cause people to become college graduates? In one sense, the answer is no. People usually attend college early in life, before they begin full-time careers, so it is unlikely that high earnings cause college attendance. It also seems unlikely that someone will make a sizable amount of money and, because of that, decide to attend college. It seems safe to conclude that, all other things being equal, college degrees are likely to cause higher earnings.

The other result, showing a correlation between soft drink consumption and low test scores, may be more difficult to explain. It is difficult to imagine that soft drink consumption alone causes a chemical or biological reaction that reduces intelligence and lowers test scores. But, there may be other factors to consider. It may be that students who like soft drinks place a higher priority on instant gratification than discipline, a quality that might also cause them to spend less time studying than students who consume few soft drinks. If that is the case, then both excessive soft drink consumption and low test scores are caused by another factor such as their parents' attitudes towards delayed gratification. If so, the correlation would not reveal causation in this case.

There are several kinds of clues that can help determine if statistics are deceptive. The first is the use of only maximum or minimum values to characterize a sample or population, to the exclusion of any other statistics. Parties involved in a dispute may emphasize that reported values are as high as or as low as a certain figure without giving the range, mean, median, or mode. Or, someone hoping to use statistics to prove a point may cite a mean without mentioning the median, mode, or range. Another potential source of deception is the use of biased or misrepresentative samples, which may produce sample statistics that are not at all representative of the underlying population. Reputable statisticians will always explain how their samples were chosen.